And put like that it would be hard to disagree with him.
But what about entering the lottery, with the same numbers every week? Or getting on the same bus, every morning?
Einstein’s theory only really works in situations where all the variables are fixed, like 17+13. No matter how many times you punch this into a calculator it will never equal 40. But if you throw in one variable, it might.
What if it was 17 + (the average temperature for that day)? One summer’s day it will equal 40, it might take a few years, especially if you are Scottish but it will, eventually.
The lottery has lots of variables and your number 19 bus will, in the ordinary course of events, take you from A to B at roughly the same time every morning, but it might not.
It might break down, it might be running late, you might meet the love of your life and just stay on. You might fall asleep and wake up in the depot.
Lots of variables, all of which can disprove the 20th century’s most eminent scientist’s theory.
But without being pedantic I get what he was meaning. You need to alter something if anything is going to change. You need to change the inputs. You need to vary things, try different things if you expect something to change.
Get the number 17 bus. Who knows what will happen, apart from being late to the office that is. Or just getting lost.
Eventually after years of suspicion, threats and in your face laughing FIFA seem to be changing. The old boys club which for years have managed to cling on to power just down the road from where I write this appears to be rapidly imploding.
Daily the revelations, claims and counter claims are being reported so most likely by the time I post this it will be superseded by some other fantastic and unfortunately true insight.
Things have moved on significantly in the six months since I wrote this last entry on FIFA.
At best it will turn out to be a laughable case of incredible financial miss management but its odds on that the corruption, bribes and lining of pockets we all assumed was going on will be proven to be true. If and when this happens I sincerely hope jail sentences are involved and then the beautiful game can return to being just exactly that.
I am a bit perplexed though that it has taken an investigation by the FBI to start this. Where have Scotland Yard been all these years or their equivalent in France, Germany, Spain or France? Why is a country who know nothing about sacker at the vanguard of this particular investigation?
It’s a little disappointing to say the least that we as a continent with all our resources and interest in the game were unable, or perhaps more worryingly unwilling, to go head to head with Sepp and his cronies.
The fallout from this will be wide reaching. I think it’s a fair assumption that the investigation into the financial records of FIFA will throw up a few oooh’s and ahhh’s along with a lot of choice swear words.
But FIFA is a company with billions of revenue. Companies like this are checked every year during their independent financial audit. The remit of such audits is to ensure the financial statements show a fair representation of the actual financial activities of such a company. They are also there to make judgements about the control environment and to raise red flags if there appears to be any suspicious transactions during the period they are auditing.
FIFAs external auditors are KPMG, one of the worlds remaining big 4 accounting firms. KPMG is not only the auditor for FIFA, it is also the auditor for the member associations around the world and was the auditor for the official Russia and Qatar organising committees.
In short KPMG has gained a lot of business from FIFA and thus FIFA is a very very important client for them.
A few years ago Enron was also a very important client for Anderson Accounting at a time when the big 4 accounting firms were the big 5. It became the big 4 after Anderson collapsed in the wake of the Enron scandal.
So if you forgive the pun have KPMG dropped the ball in regard to their independant financial reviews of FIFA? Now that the crack FBI are on the case I am sure over time the truth will out but even now I will find it hard to believe they haven’t.
Given the amount of revelations which have come out over the last few years I find it incredible that they found nothing untoward in the books of FIFA. Or were even concerned enough to look a little deeper into certain transactions. And if they did find something and did not flag it, raise it or raise any concerns about it then at the very best they will have been negligent in the execution of their duties. At worst complicit.
Either way I doubt we will be talking about a big 3 group of accounting firms any time soon but I can guarantee the tumbling of the FIFA house of cards will spread out like a tsunami and I would argue KPMG are slap bang in the path of the wave.
History is not a predictor of the future and Einstein’s quote is not entirely true.
But if history tells us anything, holding on to power for too long and continuing to assume the money will keep on flowing forever is nothing short of arrogant folly.
Had Sepp and his buddies stepped out five years ago this probably wouldn’t have occurred, the questions would have likely gone unanswered, swept under the carpet as documents were quietly shredded.
But they didn’t, they kept doing the same thing over and over again only now the outcome will be very different.
And if they thought it would end up any other way then they, are truly insane.